Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028391 0.030512 0.032645 0.034945 0.037354 0.039799 0.042466
2026-01-04 0.024361 0.027680 0.031137 0.034996 0.039169 0.043535 0.048436
2026-01-11 0.021800 0.025784 0.030043 0.034908 0.040286 0.046026 0.052588
2026-01-18 0.020379 0.024913 0.029863 0.035625 0.042105 0.049126 0.057267
2026-01-25 0.018727 0.023623 0.029073 0.035526 0.042898 0.050994 0.060501
2026-02-01 0.017352 0.022536 0.028411 0.035478 0.043662 0.052761 0.063560
2026-02-08 0.016113 0.021519 0.027751 0.035358 0.044281 0.054310 0.066330
2026-02-15 0.015004 0.020583 0.027123 0.035216 0.044822 0.055729 0.068919
2026-02-22 0.014057 0.019788 0.026611 0.035164 0.045429 0.057194 0.071536
2026-03-01 0.013039 0.018848 0.025875 0.034797 0.045624 0.058148 0.073536
2026-03-08 0.011922 0.017724 0.024860 0.034043 0.045313 0.058472 0.074770
2026-03-15 0.010948 0.016734 0.023967 0.033398 0.045096 0.058875 0.076071
2026-03-22 0.010599 0.016587 0.024177 0.034180 0.046699 0.061551 0.080201
2026-03-29 0.009948 0.016014 0.023830 0.034263 0.047456 0.063239 0.083196
2026-04-05 0.009283 0.015382 0.023373 0.034174 0.047974 0.064618 0.085807
2026-04-12 0.008986 0.015241 0.023544 0.034882 0.049483 0.067205 0.089887
2026-04-19 0.008406 0.014667 0.023113 0.034784 0.049958 0.068512 0.092405
2026-04-26 0.007888 0.014152 0.022736 0.034737 0.050479 0.069866 0.094976
2026-05-03 0.007382 0.013627 0.022322 0.034618 0.050893 0.071076 0.097364
2026-05-10 0.006904 0.013118 0.021906 0.034478 0.051264 0.072220 0.099667
2026-05-17 0.006488 0.012678 0.021569 0.034427 0.051737 0.073487 0.102118
2026-05-24 0.006004 0.012107 0.021020 0.034066 0.051786 0.074204 0.103876
2026-05-31 0.005443 0.011378 0.020215 0.033322 0.051306 0.074227 0.104748